Everyone thinks everyone else has less free will
December 13, 2010 By Charles Q. Choi
Generally, everyone seems to believe they have more free will than everyone else. Credit: aussiegall via flickr
The subject of individual free will -- whether our fates are beyond our control or whether we command our own destinies -- has been hotly argued for centuries. Now scientists have revealed a new wrinkle in the debate: generally, everyone seems to believe they have more free will than everyone else.
Social psychologist Emily Pronin at Princeton University in New Jersey studies the differences between how we perceive ourselves and how we perceive others. According to her research, we tend to view our own judgment as sound but the judgment of others as irrational; recognize the biases in others but not ourselves; and see ourselves as more individualistic and others as more conformist.
Essentially, people judge others based on what they see. But they judge themselves based on what they think and feel, a difference that often leads to misunderstandings, disagreements and conflicts. Understanding the psychological basis of these differences might help relieve some of their negative consequences, Pronin suggested.
When Pronin began wondering about other consequences of this asymmetry, "beliefs in free will struck me as a key place to look, since those beliefs really matter for things like how much responsibility we assign to our own and others' actions," she said. In four experiments, Pronin and graduate student Matthew Kugler investigated how much people believed that their lives and those of their peers were guided by free will, findings they detailed online Dec. 13 in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
In the first experiment, the researchers studied the most classic tenet of free will the notion that one's actions cannot be determined in advance. Fifty college students were asked the rate on a scale of one to seven how predictable they thought certain past and future decisions in their lives and those of their roommates were, such as their choice of major in college or their ultimate career path. On average, the participants viewed their own pasts and futures as less predictable than their roommates by about one point on that scale.
"By the standards of psychological research, this is a large effect," Pronin said.
In the second and third experiments, 28 restaurant workers and 50 students were asked how many choices they thought were available in their futures and those of peers. The volunteers generally thought they had more pathways open to them, good and bad.
In the last experiment, 58 students created models predicting their own behavior and those of a roommate on a Saturday night or after finishing college that indicated how important personality, history, circumstances, intentions and desires were for outcomes. The volunteers saw their own future actions as most strongly driven by their intentions and desires instead of being predetermined by personality, history, or circumstances. In contrast, they viewed personality as the strongest predictor of their roommates' behavior.
"People have been debating about the existence of free will for ages," Pronin said. "Our research suggests one reason why this debate is so persistent -- people seem to have two views of free will. One view is when they look inwards and are convinced of their own free will; the other view is when they look outwards, at others, and are convinced that those others' actions could have been predicted in advance."
"This work is a terrific advance," said research psychologist Roy Baumeister at Florida State University in Tallahassee, who did not take part in this study. "Most debates about free will take an all-or-nothing form -- either everyone has it all the time, or nobody ever does."
As to why such a difference might have evolved, "when thinking about ourselves, it may be adaptive to believe that we can control what happens to us, and that belief requires thinking that we have free will," Pronin suggested. "When thinking about others, it may be adaptive to recognize the predictability in others' actions so that we can be prepared accordingly."
The scientists are intrigued by the consequences of these differing views on free will, as well as how they might vary across lifespan and different cultures.
"How does it impact beliefs about personal responsibility and guilt?" Pronin asked. "Are people likely to spend more time kicking themselves about things that went wrong in their past because they think they could have controlled those things, even though they wouldn't think this in the case of others?"
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Dec 13, 2010
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Location: Inside a Catholic Seminary Religion class
Student: Father(a priest is referred to as Father) if God knows everything past, present, and future how can I have a free will?
Father: It is DOGMA - you may not question this, you must accept it with faith.
Dec 13, 2010
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Dec 13, 2010
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Dec 13, 2010
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@magus----/jail/*/rehab/ you lost me at "i" PS. we arent all /devs/
@paulthebassguy....IE paul the retard guy...obviously beyond your grasp. go read.
Dec 13, 2010
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-You see, this is how we learn about free will- scientists do actual experiments. They don't use word maths.
Dec 14, 2010
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Dec 14, 2010
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Shall I cease work on my freewill detection system then? If you have free will, don't rate this comment 5 stars.
Dec 14, 2010
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A scientist would probably tell me that the existence of these factors would preclude any chance of 'free will' in any sense. And then I could relay this information to you. Would you accept it?
Dec 14, 2010
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I would then consider it's origin and use in the context of history, and surmise that it played a sociopolitical role in configuring western peoples opinions about themselves during the age of enlightenment.-Because it doesn't exist perhaps? It is a fabrication, a conceptual exigency like the soul?
Dec 14, 2010
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One does not need to be thoroughly schooled in determinism to recognize it's obsolescence.
Dec 14, 2010
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Of course its also fun because so many different people have different specific definitions of what free will is that people are often arguing with each other about completely different things.
Dec 14, 2010
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It's funny (strange) what we all take away from these debates, because I tend to see the exact opposite. That some people HATE it when anyone tries to suggest that they do indeed have free will.
I think, maybe, we tend to focus on the "opposition" rather than on what "we" have in common in any discussion.
Then again I'm sure some of you are out there saying "What's this we stuff paleface".
Dec 14, 2010
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Agreed. My bias obviously snuck into my comment.
I guess I just enjoy watching arguments/debates in general where peoples' emotions and biases get in there. Usually makes for an interesting read to see what people base their reasoning on.
Dec 14, 2010
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Dec 14, 2010
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Absolutely, sorry if I didn't make that clear. I was admitting my bias at the same time as pointing out others. Although I wouldn't call it a lack of independent thought. I'd call it a bias towards thinking I have free will.
Dec 14, 2010
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Or in either case is the freedom to choose an illusion because your life has been entirely predetermined by a Creature who knows everything from beginning to end?
Dec 14, 2010
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If there is absolutely no free will and everything is deterministic based purely on environmental stimuli, which are themselves deterministic based purely on environmental conditions, etc, then morality is most definitely an illusion.
I cannot be at fault for my failures if I was always destined to fail. Nor can I receive thanks or reward for my successes if I was always destined to succeed.
This may be the opposite of the claims Hawking made years ago when he examined determinism, but I think it's a joke if you know absolutely that everything is pre-determined and that everything and everyone is merely a product of original conditions, and then you punish someone for their "faults" or even "crimes". But if everything is determined, even this doesn't matter, existence is a joke.
Dec 14, 2010
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This could be interesting- 2 religionists arguing gods will. Schlag zu.
Dec 14, 2010
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Maybe someone's destined to succeed at something and maybe someone's destined to fail, who knows? Might as well just try to succeed anyways. Whether it's destined or not shouldn't really matter or affect how one lives his or her life.
Personally, I believe that everything's deterministic. Doesn't really affect me one way or the other. Just seems to make sense to me. If someone comes at me with something that makes more sense to me I'll probably change my view.
Dec 14, 2010
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If he knows everything from beginning to end, how does that preclude my free will?
Dec 14, 2010
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In that case there isn't a lick of Calvinist in me.
Dec 14, 2010
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Being able to precisely, without variation, the position of a particle is deterministic and non-free will. Any degree of uncertainty and we have Free Will wiggling in.
Dec 14, 2010
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The human brain at some point performs state changes based on one electron that purely by "chance" interaction with quantum variations does or does not activate a neuron. From that building block amplified by cascading networks in the brain comes free will.
Dec 14, 2010
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For example, if you during your prime of youth you decide to jump off a tree limb, breaking your back in the process, you can no longer walk or run. Your free will is now confined to the limitations of a wheel chair. Despite still having the choice of whether to jump or not, you can no longer use your legs to do so. Restoration must occur.
Likewise, Adam's fall, enslaved man into the wheel chair.
Dec 14, 2010
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Much like the article above, in our bias towards others compared to ourselves...how much more so, does one attempt to judge God, despite knowing even less?
Dec 14, 2010
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Nevertheless - am I the only one who suddenly realised, that solipsim is not such a worthless idea after reading this?
Dec 14, 2010
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Dec 14, 2010
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"Before I formed you in the womb I knew you,
before you were born I set you apart" Jer1:5
""Unconditional election": This doctrine asserts that God's choice from eternity of those whom he will bring to himself is not based on foreseen virtue, merit, or faith in those people. Rather, it is unconditionally grounded in God's mercy alone."
Dec 14, 2010
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""Irresistible grace": This doctrine, also called "efficacious grace," asserts that the saving grace of God is effectually applied to those whom he has determined to save (that is, the elect) and, in God's timing, overcomes their resistance to obeying the call of the gospel, bringing them to a saving faith. This means that when God sovereignly purposes to save someone, that individual certainly will be saved."
-Augustine talked about this in City of God. An elect few, chosen at birth to receive gods grace, were born into the city. They tolerated their time on earth and the need to obey mans laws. But they could do nothing to affect their salvation; which means either they were incapable of serious sin, or that god knew beforehand that they would not choose to sin during their lifetime.
Dec 14, 2010
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Aye, mercy alone, predestined, not by your works.
See Augustine's point is not that God looks down the corridor of time and picks you for having less sin...it is irrelative to your sinfulness, because you have been taken off the scale of good or bad, and placed squarely upon the righteouness of Christ alone.
Dec 14, 2010
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Why are some used for destruction and others not?
The typical Calvinist response is that, we are all bad. But this resonates further that even fi we were all good, having been created, God is still the giver of life and has every authority over his creation.
And so Calvin, like many who think similiarly, simply trust that since God sees in full and us in part, they default to trusting God in what he has set out to accomplish in full. That man is responsible for his sin is true, and that God is soveriegn is also true. The bible teaches both, and how that all intertwines, man will most likely never fully comprehend.
When Christ asks the cup to pass, he's asking the same thing, is there another way? If there had been...he wouldnt have bled and died for it.
Dec 14, 2010
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Dec 14, 2010
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Dec 15, 2010
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What is inherent randomness?
Dec 15, 2010
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If this is so, then science is fruitless in the end, so is that comment altogether, or any attempt to reason at all.
Posting on this blog was a meaningless endeavor.
Such arguement is already false. To make it alone, requires a non random aspect.
Another way of putting free will is that you can go against what your subatomic particles tell you to do.
Dec 15, 2010
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Dec 15, 2010
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Of course, but I'm sure you've heard of many people who struggle against God, much less Calvinism alone for that reason.
This fails on account that sin is paid for regardless under Christ, unconditional or not. The doctrine, comes out of the five points of calvinism, a summary submitted by others against Arminianism. In regards to Joshuan campaigns, Calvin argued against liscence as much as any other. Further, Joshuan campaigns need no justification, as they were a direct command from God to take that piece of rectangular land and kick out the barbaic nations that held it.
The misuse of grace, as if it is a liscence to sin, is not limited to war. It can be an excuse in any facet of life. However, the Bible argues heavily against it, so did Calvin, so did and does most anyone else associated with christian theology.
Dec 15, 2010
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I don't understand your definition of meaningless. What is it that defines meaning to you?
You seem saying that the statement is meaningless because if existence is deterministic then nothing matters because everything is predetermined anyways.
But then why does anything matter assuming that existence is not deterministic?
I just don't see how the statement "free will does not exist" is any more meaningless than the statement "free will exists".
Dec 15, 2010
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"Brain Scanners Can See Your Decisions Before You Make Them", that pertains to free will.
fMRI scans show prescient patterns that correlate to conscious decisions.
( I'd post links, but earlier attempts were blocked by "spam filter"... noobe me! )
..Joe..
Dec 15, 2010
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Determination is not contrary to the freedom of the will, only predetermination and/or randomness are contrary to the freedom of the will.
Dec 15, 2010
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That's a fairly absolute position. The problem is, is that you are not the only "self". And no one else has to agree that your "self" matters...
So self determination fails. You can give youself no more purpose, meaning, or worth without something outside.
Predetermined does not negate value or worth or purpose. You've most likely owned a pet, in which its very life is dependent upon what you have predetermined for it. When to eat, when to go outside, etc. Does it get distracted, does it ignore you at times? Sure. But overall, it must conform for apart from you, it will perish.
Dec 15, 2010
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Matters to who or what?
Dec 15, 2010
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Dec 15, 2010
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This sounds to me like this is what your personal criteria is for something to be meaningful for yourself.
I would say that the reason for everything that you believe is due to all of your experiences before hand so I don't really understand your point. This reason for believing something is based on the same precedent for both deterministic and non-deterministic existences. All determinism really says is that in the same situation based on previous knowledge/experiences (exact same in every way) you'd always make the same decision.
Dec 15, 2010
Rank: 1.4 / 5 (11)
And the criteria of meaning I give you is not just my personal criteria, but the relevant part of the criteria for anything meaning anything to anybody. If someone says to me, "I believe x" it is always meaningful for me to ask "why?" If they tell me that they don't have any reason for believing it, they just do, I have to conclude that they're either pulling my leg about not having a reason, or their belief in x doesn't mean anything to them.
Dec 15, 2010
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That's essentially the same thing.
Basically I believe it because everything seems to be pretty cause and effect. It makes sense that, given the same precursors, I would make the same choice every time. Same causes lead to the same effects.
What you're implying is that to a determinist, since everything will essentially end up in a certain way because cause and effect goes all the way from the beginning to the end, that nothing we do, think, or say matters. That is a nihilistic view of determinism.
Why, if things are not destined to be a certain way, do things "matter" then to you? Maybe it's just how I'm looking at it, but I don't see how actions, thoughts, etc. matter more or less regardless of whether or not existence is deterministic or not.
Dec 15, 2010
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Dec 15, 2010
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Dec 16, 2010
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Dec 16, 2010
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First I'd just like to say, this is a nice convo about free will. I love these!
Anyways,
What part of your thinking would change when making a decision in the exact same conditions? When you make a decision about something your brain consciously and subconciously go through the pros and cons and you make your decision. With the exact same pros and cons I don't see how your brain would make a different choice in the same situation. Whether or not it makes one feel meaningful about their lives is not really an argument against the validity of the theory.
trek,
I agree that a brain works like a computer. It's actually a big reason as to why I have a deterministic view. I'm just not so sure about randomness. Our inability to currently predict something may make things seem random to us, but that doesn't make it universally random.
Dec 16, 2010
Rank: 2.4 / 5 (35)
Or if the maker did not completely understand the meaning of what he was saying, then it would again be specious.
Dec 16, 2010
Rank: 2.4 / 5 (36)
To consider 'the exact same conditions' in a clinical setting is therefore meaningless. I can make a good decision on a subject in the morning and a bad one on the same subject in the afternoon.
Brains may be computers but it is doubtful whether we can ever know for certain how individual brains will deal with a given situation. Statistically we can begin to determine probabilities, and make predictions, but behavior is basically a crapshoot.
This is why the term 'free will' itself is meaningless and is never used by scientists. It is an artifact.
Dec 16, 2010
Rank: 2.4 / 5 (36)
But we can also realize that this self-knowledge will never be perfect and that we will always make mistakes. And we can accept the role of the subconscious in forcing our hand at times, often against our will. Where does the concept of 'free will' fit into all this? Nowhere.
'Will' does perhaps, being the desire and the resolve to do things per nietzsche or Schopenhauer. All the freedom in the world will be of little benefit if we do not choose to take advantage of it. The will is a faculty which can get stronger with use. This is really the basis of cognitive therapy- our will to act and our relative comfort in doing so.
Dec 16, 2010
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Dec 16, 2010
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He would suggest that if you did want to gain a fundamental understanding of cognition you should actually learn how scientists have studied the ways in which humans and animals have responded to stimuli in the course of scientific analysis; and what researchers have discovered in light of these actual analyses, in addition to what they have learned about the organs which are stimulated and which convey and process stimuli.
Lots of work done in these areas, lots to learn.
Dec 16, 2010
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Dec 18, 2010
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Dec 18, 2010
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My actions are predetermined, but hidden until I actually do them.
We can't actually know if we're in the universe, or we're running as a playback. :D
Dec 18, 2010
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No, you couldn't have. You weren't (couldn't have been) 100% certain you were going to leave that comment before you did, so it seemed possible that you wouldn't, but the fact that you did means it was inevitable all along that you would. You simply had no way to know.
Dec 18, 2010
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Dec 19, 2010
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By this I mean, why do you view the world from your eyes and not the eyes of the person sitting next to you, or someone on the other side of the planet?
Your sentience is anchored somewhere, somehow. We may be deterministic animials at our core, but there has to be a realm of flexibility that exists beyond what we can detect in our own world.
Whether this involves gods, or multi-dimensional bubbles, or whatever, our perspective is grounded in something bigger than a simple physical world.
If that isn't the case, then I suppose we are just random energy fluctuations in a never ending sea of chaos.
If we can't have freewill, neither can god.
Dec 19, 2010
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It is impossible for me to know.
Dec 19, 2010
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You just *had* to say that didn't you.
Dec 19, 2010
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1) There is an element of chance in my choices that prevents any outside observer from predicting my choices with 100% certainty.
2) I am able to influence the odds within the set of possibilities for any choice that I might make. This influence allows me to increase the probability of occurrence of my desired choice. Free will amounts to excercising this influence.
Since each observer has the ability to influence the odds of their personal set of choices, interactions between myself and outside observers create a superposition of possibilities that interact to determine the the set of possible outcomes for a given choice as well as the odds of their occurrence. As I apply my influence and the outside observers apply theirs, the odds of a particular outcome will eventually increase to the point of certainty, at which point the choice becomes reality.
Dec 20, 2010
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You appear to be saying that because your self exists and that no one can view it except you, the self exists only subjectively and, because you're the only one who observes it (indirectly), that the self does not exist objectively.
Since it doesn't exist objectively (since objectivity is a function of the number of subjective observations), there can be no determined future. Therefore free will.
This view is based on a number of assumptions that I don't agree with (which is likely why our viewpoints differ on the subject).
1) The self can only be observed subjectively by the self.
Research is constantly showing how different parts of the brain affect what we think and how we feel. There are experiments using brain signals to form images on screens. I'm not saying for sure we'll definitely get to the point where the self can be viewed by someone else, but there's no way I can definitively rule it out either.
Con't
Dec 20, 2010
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I actually made this argument on another thread recently, however it was in a different context. What you're suggesting applies to what we can see and apply (ie. gravity is objective because the number of observations is huge).
It is not the subjective observations that make something objective. It's an increasing number of subjective observations that let us perceive or believe something is objective.
If something exists objectively, it exists as such regardless of whether or not it is observed.
Dec 20, 2010
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Behavior, which should be the result of the self operating with it's free will or not, can be tested and evaluated. Behavior is the only outward evidence of the self. We can determine that behavior is influenced by any number of things, conscious (senses, knowledge) and unconscious (diet, pain, neuro damage, T Gondii etc) which prove we can never be in full control of our decisions.
This renders free will nonexistent and by extension, the self.
Dec 20, 2010
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(cont)
Dec 20, 2010
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The self, like the soul, is not necessary to describe any testable phenomena exhibited by human beings. This is further evidence that it might be an over-elaborate distortion of a natural animal trait by a grossly over-evolved and thus unstable and endemically flawed brain.
Dec 20, 2010
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Dec 20, 2010
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Dec 20, 2010
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Dec 20, 2010
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Actually I was just trying to restate Thras' statement in different words to make sure we were having a discussion about the same thing.
I think we should draw the line between relative objectivity and absolute objectivity.
Something that is relatively objective would be something that most agree upon as objective. This requires multiple subjective observations.
Something absolutely objective just exists regardless of observation.
Dec 20, 2010
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Dec 20, 2010
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First, absence of evidence is neither proof for or against.
Secondly, it is widely known that Jericho has been found, and is described just as the Bible describes it. Fallen walls, burnt city, including the left over grain, that no one plundered.
The only discrepency has been "traditional" dating, as Kenyon did not find any Cyperian pottery for the 1400s. However, other archaelogists have.
You may say that the Israelites simply took credit for someone else's work, and maybe so, but if that is the case you would have to prove who and why they didnt plunder the grain...as was custom.
Dec 21, 2010
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Yup. Determinism needs the assumption that there is an absolutely objective reality that exists independent of observation. Without it, determinism falls apart.
Dec 21, 2010
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Dec 21, 2010
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Actually that is not agreed upon. Existence could be a function of the mind. It's all a dream. that kind of stuff (not my personal view, but there are those that believe this).
But that kind of objectivity is inferred through subjective means. Hence the issue with an agreement on whether something observed can be objective.
Dec 21, 2010
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Couldn't two "non-conscious" computers conduct the test? Would that make a difference? Am I going anywhere with this?
Sorry, I don't have the time to think this all the way through for myself right now. Too much work. lol
Dec 21, 2010
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Hmm, but are the observations made by the computer not subjective to the inner workings/interpretation made by the software in the same way that observations by humans are interpreted by the brain? Plus the computers were designed by humans and the output from those computers is interpreted through human observation.
Honestly it's a fun thought experiment, but it's one of those unfalsifiable things that we can't prove.
One cannot "know" if an observed property is objective because knowledge itself is subjective. We can only ever be pretty sure about stuff. As such, objectivity or the lack thereof can neither be proven nor disproven to our knowledge.
Dec 29, 2010
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"How Long Is the Coast of Britain? Statistical Self-Similarity and Fractional Dimension"
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
"This discussion implies that it is meaningless to talk about the length of a coastline; some other means of quantifying coastlines are needed."
"The empirical evidence suggests a rule which, if extrapolated, shows that the measured length increases without limit as the measurement scale decreases towards zero."
I am in love with this rule. The rule reminds me of will - regardless of anyone's definition and regardless of, or if, this will is free or not.