Believing the impossible and conspiracy theories
January 26, 2012Distrust and paranoia about government has a long history, and the feeling that there is a conspiracy of elites can lead to suspicion for authorities and the claims they make. For some, the attraction of conspiracy theories is so strong that it leads them to endorse entirely contradictory beliefs, according to a study in the current Social Psychological and Personality Science.
People who endorse conspiracy theories see authorities as fundamentally deceptive. The conviction that the "official story" is untrue can lead people to believe several alternative theories-despite contradictions among them. "Any conspiracy theory that stands in opposition to the official narrative will gain some degree of endorsement from someone who holds a conpiracist worldview," according to Michael Wood, Karen Douglas and Robbie Sutton of the University of Kent.
To see if conspiracy views were strong enough to lead to inconsistencies, the researchers asked 137 college students about the death of Princess Diana. The more people thought there "was an official campaign by the intelligence service to assassinate Diana," the more they also believed that "Diana faked her own death to retreat into isolation." Of course, Diana cannot be simultaneously dead and alive.
The researchers wanted to know if the contradictory beliefs were due to suspicion of authorities, so they asked 102 college students about the death of Osama bin Laden (OBL). People who believed that "when the raid took place, OBL was already dead," were significantly more likely to also believe that "OBL is still alive." Since bin Laden is not Schrödinger's cat, he must either be alive or dead. The researchers found that the belief that the "actions of the Obama administration indicate that they are hiding some important or damaging piece of information about the raid" was responsible for the connection between the two conspiracy theories. Conspiracy belief is so potent that it will lead to belief in completely inconsistent ideas.
"For conspiracy theorists, those in power are seen as deceptive-even malevolent-and so any official explanation is at a disadvantage, and any alternative explanation is more credible from the start," said the authors. It is no surprise that fear, mistrust, and even paranoia can lead to muddled thinking; when distrust is engaged, careful reasoning can coast on by. "Believing Osama is still alive," they write, 'is no obstacle to believing that he has been dead for years."
More information: The article "Dead and Alive: Beliefs in Contradictory Conspiracy Theories" in Social Psychological and Personality Science is available free for a limited time at http://m.spp.sagep … 786.full.pdf
Provided by SAGE Publications
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Jan 26, 2012
Rank: 1 / 5 (1)
Or Government Motors, there's no conspiracy that Toyota was forced to recall tens of thousands of autos to repair a "unexplained sudden acceleration" fault, a fault that later turns out, didn't exist, while Chevy Volts catch fire days and weeks after a crash, whild NTSB says, "nothing to see here, move along".
Nothing to see here, move along.
Jan 26, 2012
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Jan 26, 2012
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--What they didn't believe simply was the MSM lying to their face. How is that irrational?
Jan 27, 2012
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Jan 27, 2012
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Jan 27, 2012
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The question is not: "Are you paranoid?"
But: "Are you paranoid enough?"
Jan 27, 2012
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http://pesn.com/2..._Fusion/
http://pesn.com/2...locaust/
But the assumption, some particular person or group of lobbyists is responsible for such widespread ignorance would be simply very naive belief. The cold fusion deniers are all around us, even on this forum - and they're formed with retired programmers, teachers etc. - i.e. the people without real influence and power.
Jan 27, 2012
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Go ask Jesse Ventura about his television show Conspiracy Theory. It got too close to the truth. Go ask the ABC reporter and camera man who filmed the coming and goings of the Democratic Big Wigs in Denver in 2008. He got arrested with no charge. Just removed from filming the rich and powerful.
Jan 27, 2012
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Jan 27, 2012
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http://en.wikiped...d_States
Also you should look up the Tuskegee Syphilis Experiments.
Jan 30, 2012
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Jan 30, 2012
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I wouldn't claim conspiracies don't happen; history has demonstrated that they do. all that is needed is an agenda, power and a lack of accountability. However, the burden of evidence lies, as ever, with the claimant.
What the article demonstrates is that conspiracy theorists generally prefer conspiratorial explanations, even if they are contradictory. This is a classic example of cognitive dissonance.
Rational enquiry requires we go with the evidence, even if the explanation is mundane.
Jan 30, 2012
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You're right,you have the easy job. All that you need to do is demonstrate, beyond reasonable doubt, that your theory is right, in one instance. One verifiable demonstration of cold fusion would do.
Jan 30, 2012
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The problem is somewhere else: every theory or finding is accepted just after then and only then, when it becomes more useful than harmful for existing generation of physicists. For example, the cold fusion finding would be very useful for the rest of people, but its harmful for all physicists, who are engaged in research of alternative methods of energy production, conversion, transport and storage, which would be rendered useless with cold fusion.
So that the cold fusion is simply ignored, because for this close community it's more advantageous to ignore it as a whole. Is it understandable enough?
Jan 30, 2012
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Jan 30, 2012
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Jan 30, 2012
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Say I had a theory - "Cows eat only grass" . You could falsify it by producing one cow that eats hay.
According to physics as we understand it, cold fusion cannot occur. There is not enough energy in the neutrons to overcome the strong force to get a chain reaction started.
All you need to do to falsify this is demonstrate one definite occurrence of cold fusion.
The frequency and amplitude of your protestations have no bearing on the reality of the situation.
My physicist friends, who incidentally have have nothing to do with the power industry and have nothing to gain for saying so, think its bunk. Conversely, demonstrating cold fusion would certainly be a Nobel prize gimme.
Jan 30, 2012
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Physics is a mathematical science. It IS applied maths. No way round it. If you can't do the maths that underlies it, you have no business attacking the subject. There's no get-out clause, you need maths to truly understand relativity, QM etc. Without advanced maths, these discoveries would never have been made.
By admitting you can't/won't do the maths, you have succeeded in discrediting every claim you have ever made better than anyone else could. So thanks for that.
Jan 30, 2012
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fill in the blank with . . .
religion,
greed,
dreams,
company policy,
schizophrenia,
psychedelics,
conspiracy
etc.
Jan 30, 2012
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Jan 30, 2012
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Apparently, many people here don't really think like the Feynman. BTW I'm not explaining physics here - but observable reality. As Einstein once said: "Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."
If it's so, why to start with explanation of the later? Contemporary physics contains myriads of misconceptions - so it's much easier to present the correct model first and just after then to deal with the gradual correction of these misconceptions.
Jan 30, 2012
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Jan 30, 2012
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Jan 30, 2012
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You admit ignorance of the maths, have demonstrated your misapprehension of science, and continue to abuse the English language, Yet you think you know more than all the physicists of the past 100 years. You've said nothing to indicate to us you could cross the street without a responsible adult, let alone be the greatest genius of our age (as you would have to be).
Jan 30, 2012
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Jan 30, 2012
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Reductio ad absurdum Isn't a fallacy unless it is false dichotomy (like you being comical or wrong). I didn't present a dichotomy, I just want to know how your experimental physics is superior.
Logical fallicies are all you deal in. All your time is wasted time.
http://en.wikiped...elusions
Jan 30, 2012
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Jan 30, 2012
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Feb 02, 2012
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I personally find it much easier to assign probabilities to reality. Some things have a very high probability of being true. For instance, if I drop something it will most likely appear to move (relative to me) towards the earth's core.
When events are extremely complex and we have limited knowledge about them and especially where there may be a motivation for persons to hide information about the event, I think it is better to keep an open mind. Like the JFK assassination. The United States House Select Committee on assassination concluded there was more than likely 2 shooters. Yet some people still hear JFK and think "Conspiracy!" and have a very strong emotional response. http://en.wikiped...inations
Feb 02, 2012
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The finding of ultimate interpretation would threaten the jobs and social status of existing theorists, as R.Wilson mentioned already
The lack of intuitive understanding maintains the gap between the community of physicists and the rest of layman society, which makes the control and public feedback more difficult (from the same reason the shamans and alchemists covered their findings into incomprehensible language and allegories).
The lack of intuitive understanding maintains the importance of formal math based approach, which further supports the social status and jobs of theorists and teachers.
etc.
Feb 03, 2012
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The physicist's job is to find explanations of the mechanisms of the universe that WORK. Sometimes this means they will be too hard for you to understand. Waa. Go learn physics.
Feb 03, 2012
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Feb 03, 2012
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It is a macro level metaphor though and I don't see it as being a useful metaphor to describe quantum mechanics. In fact, finding any metaphor to describe quantum mechanics is difficult and that is precisely the problem we are talking about here.
You can imagine the universe as a tree because you have seen a tree (I would say all humans can relate to it due to our shared ancestry). Try describing the tree to the bug you mention or to a worm at its root. What I would like to determine is, are you saying that the bug has a better understanding of quantum mechanics, because they spend all their time at the roots?
Feb 03, 2012
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Feb 03, 2012
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Feb 03, 2012
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Many of you are programmers of IT technicians, so we can use another analogy: you're not required to be an expert in assembly language for being able to do successful carrier in programming of business applications, simply because you'll be separated with many software abstraction layers from complexities of assembly language programming during it.
Feb 03, 2012
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Metaphors an analogies are only useful if the metaphor you use is more fundamental than the thing you use it for. Otherwise making inferences based on the metaphor are completely unwarranted (and if they work at all it's pure chance)
Our view/experience of the world does not include expriences of direct observations of individual quantum events. So we shouldn't use analogies to describe them (just the maths that describes them)
Since we're quoting Feynman here I'd just point out that the above is his view on anaogies (see the latter part of this intrview with him)
http://www.youtub...PId_6xec
Feb 03, 2012
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Feb 03, 2012
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http://aetherwave...tum.html
The important aspect of AWT is, the same dependency manifests itself at the very large scales too, so that the quantum mechanical behaviour of our Universe is essentially symmetric with respect to the distance scale
Feb 03, 2012
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Well, let's take it as a given that most people who are experts on a subject are intelligent enough to understand that what they study is not the whole reality. The tree expert has already taken the time to study the root. I would imagine most experts are simply unfolding the understanding of its complexity a little bit more and the scientific method allows for that understanding to change (perhaps some see that as being "proved wrong"). I don't think they will ever find a singular truth there, but anyone who is looking for that through science probably doesn't understand quantum mechanics.
So, if you are making a judgement that by being an expert in a field automatically makes you short sighted, I think that reflects more on your prejudice. Perhaps try meditating under a tree.
Feb 03, 2012
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Feb 03, 2012
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Can we imagine such an environment, which is both rigid from outside and superfluous from inside? Actually it's the behaviour of every boson condensate, like the electrons within superconductor, which undergo Meissner effect. These electrons cannot be manipulated easily with magnetic field penetrating from outside, yet they're still superfluous internally.
Feb 03, 2012
Rank: 5 / 5 (2)
I'll call "Bullshit Bingo!" on that one.
[q9in finding of answers to specialized questions are doing it less effective for finding of the answers for generalized questions
I'm not sure you are aware of this, but there are things like conferences and journals.
If it's one thing that characterizes scientits it's curiosity. And I have yet to meet a scientit who isn't intensely curious about any- and everything. That they spend most of their time working on their field of expertise is to be expected. but don't think for a minute that they therefore lack the ability to look beyond their own ken.
It's just with crank theories: They are dismissed not because "they go against dogma and we have to follow dogma". It's that they are immediately obvious as being self contradictory.
Feb 03, 2012
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Feb 03, 2012
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Feb 03, 2012
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Because they couldn't be replicated. Not even by the people who claimed to have made the discovery. And people really tried (including NASA). So your argument that scientists will REFUSE to look at paradigm changing claims is, and I repeat myself: bullshit.
Feb 03, 2012
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Feb 03, 2012
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You aren't reading too many articles on physorg, are you (or you must be reading other articles than I do)?
Sounds like cold fusion.
So to sum up what you are saying: Because some people who can't think logically and there is still some 'emergent' truth, which...No. Hold on. I take it back. What you say makes no sense at all.
(And I think the word denominate does not mean what you think it means.)
Feb 03, 2012
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Feb 03, 2012
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Ning Li and Douglas Torr from the university of Alabama did (and their paper on it was complete hogwash).
David Noever at NASA headed a team in 1997 that tried various approaches (and failed)
At NASA Glenn research center Ron Koczor and Tony Robertson tried in 2001 to replicate it (and failed)
Oh...and Podkletnov redacted his own paper. But he claimed that an (unnamed) scientist in Canada had replicated it.
Feb 03, 2012
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Feb 03, 2012
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Oh boy. Do you even read what you write? That sentence makes no sense (neither on a gramattical level, nor on a scientific one)
And FYI: 'denominate' means 'to label/to give something a name' (or 'to give something a monetary unit'. But that makes even less sense).
Then there's the self contradictory term "noncausal information". Do you even know how information is defined? Go look it up on wikipedia.
http://en.wikiped...n_theory
Work thorugh the math. It isn't particularly hard. If you can't then you should get a clue that you are in WAY over your head when talking about anything scientific.
The rest is just more Bullshit Bingo. Stringing random words from a "scientific terms generator" together does not a scientific insight make.
Feb 03, 2012
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"...In 1990 a senior scientist at the University of Alabama named Douglas Torr started writing papers with a Chinese woman physicist named Ning Li, predicting that superconductors could affect the force of gravity. THIS WAS BEFORE Eugene Podkletnov made his observations in Tampere, so naturally Li and Torr were delighted when they heard that Podkletnov had accidentally validated their predictions.."
So it's not / can not be a replication of Podkletnov's experiments at all. The worse for mainstream physics, if these experiments weren't replicated, although their results were actually predicted theoretically in advance. What all these physicists are waiting for - a Christmas? Isn't antigravity theoretically predicted and experimentally confirmed interesting enough for all these "inquisitive minds"? I see, I can see the problem - it violates their religion: the relativity theory
Feb 03, 2012
Rank: 5 / 5 (2)
Go to the wikipedia site on Podkletnov (subsection related work).
I just happened to know this stuff because I was excited when he first announced it back in 1996 (while I was at uni going for a degree in electrical engineering, so the subject of superconductors was naturally appealing because it was THE hot area of research at the time). I had a short e-mail discussion with Podkletnov on the subject. So I followed it up for a while. But it turned out to be extremely murky. No one who made any claims came forward with a demonstrator or a viable paper. And the credible groups (like NASA) failed to duplicate it altogether.
Feb 03, 2012
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It has no meaning to waste my time just with you - the thinking of proponents of mainstream science will never change. The religious people are religious, the ignorants are ignorants - and it has no meaning to speculate about it.
Feb 03, 2012
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Feb 03, 2012
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Instead of being so angry why don't you go out and do some research yourself, find something new out, publish it and see how it goes? If the results are repeatable, it will eventually be accepted. If it doesn't happen immediately, do more experiments and get more proof until no one can deny it. Because in the end, not even the holy roman catholic church could hold back "progress" for ever.
Feb 03, 2012
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Feb 03, 2012
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Where did say that? I said these people investigated and either redacted (Podkletnov and Li) or failed to publish (Torr) or failed to replicate at all and consequently didn't publish (Noevor, Koczor and Robertson)
Feb 03, 2012
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Feb 03, 2012
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Trying to prove a negative? Are you kidding me?
It's extremely rare that anyone will publish unsuccessful results. The last time I saw this the guy almost got a standing ovation (publishing a negative is important, because it helps others avoid making the same mistakes)
But Podkletnov himself says that he can only guarantee that they will get results if they do it exactly like him (without specifying how exactly he did it)
http://www.theliv...002.html
Feb 03, 2012
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Feb 03, 2012
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There were serious attempts at replication. By taxpayer funded agencies (universities, NASA). This is what you always whine about, isn't it? So they did EXACTLY what you wanted and came up empty. What are you crying about NOW?
What has this got to do with the subject at hand? How does publishing experimental results in one science shed any light on publishing (or not choosing to do so) in another?
But if you want to play, let's play: At least the Higgs guys gave some account of what the taxpayer money was used for. And their results are far from useless. The collider data gathered can (and will) be used for all sorts of analyses - not just looking for the Higgs.
Feb 03, 2012
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So you can see it by now: the replication of useless results are repeated over and over, whereas the potentially useful applications aren't even worth of replication, publication the less..