Research shows there could be no end in sight for Moore's Law

December 9, 2008

The fast pace of growing computing power could be sustained for many years to come thanks to new research from the UK's National Physical Laboratory (NPL) that is applying advanced techniques to magnetic semiconductors.

Moore's Law observed that the density of transistors on an integrated circuit doubles every two years. Components have shrunk over time to achieve this, but experts believed that when the characteristic transistor size reduces below ~ 20 nm, heating and quantum effects will become so severe that they will not be of practical use.

In a paper published in one of the most cited scientific journals, Nano Letters (ISI citation factor is 9.627), researchers at NPL looked at solutions to this problem as part of a project dealing with magnetic phenomena at reduced dimensions.

In the paper NPL's scientists reported on their research on single crystalline Mn-doped Ge nanowires that display ferromagnetism above 300 K and a superior performance with respect to the hole mobility of around 340 cm2/Vs and other industrially relevant parameters, demonstrating the potential of using these nanowires as building blocks for electronic devices.

Senior Research Scientist at NPL Dr Olga Kazakova said:

'The solution lies in changing not only the material but also the structure of our transistors. We have worked mainly with germanium nanowires that we have made magnetic. Magnetic semiconductors don't exist in nature, so they have to be artificially engineered. Germanium is closely compatible with silicon, meaning it can easily be used with existing silicon electronics without further redesign. The resulting transistors based on NPL's germanium nanowire technology, which could revolutionise computing and electronic devices, could realistically be 10 years away."

Source: National Physical Laboratory

Filter


Move the slider to adjust rank threshold, so that you can hide some of the comments.


Display comments: newest first

Alizee
Dec 09, 2008

Rank: 2.5 / 5 (4)
Technology news are good ones - this is why we like them.
nxtr
Dec 09, 2008

Rank: 3.9 / 5 (7)
I have always been skeptical of people who try to predict the future's versatility. "Moore's law is dead" is assigning no foresight to a problem. You don't know what the next guy will bring to the table, and to pretend you do sets you up to be wrong.
axemaster
Dec 10, 2008

Rank: 4 / 5 (7)
Well, Moore's Law will be dead at some point - there are physical limits to information density. Though we are nowhere near reaching them.

The next big thing to come out will be three dimensional chips, where the units in the layers are connected in a 3D matrix. That would increase the available computing space by a power of 1.
plasma_guy
Dec 10, 2008

Rank: 5 / 5 (4)
"Germanium is closely compatible with silicon, meaning it can easily be used with existing silicon electronics without further redesign."

Is this naivete or what?
nanomvp
Dec 10, 2008

Rank: 5 / 5 (3)
Moore's Law is effectively dead, economically. Material changes, really... If it's only usable for one generation, it's not scalable (like Intel's 45 nm HKMG).
insectking
Dec 10, 2008

Rank: 3.3 / 5 (4)
Moore's Law isn't dead -- standard doped-silicon semi-conductors are dead.

I remember reading Kurzweil's theory that Moore's Law can be tracked backwards as part of general technological progress through the ages which includes current computing trends and assumes the exponential growth beyond our current point.
KBK
Dec 10, 2008

Rank: 2.5 / 5 (4)
In an inter-dimensional matrix within which we exist, when the access to other dimensions is considered to be 'vortex-like' in nature and not, shall we say.. evident in this universe--we therefore come to what would appear to be an infinite level of information density being possible. So Moore's law and beyond (raised to 'x' power) is more like the the more real situation -than anything else.
spice_guru
Dec 12, 2008

Rank: 4.5 / 5 (2)
KBK, I have some swamp land to sell you in the sixth dimension.
darkmatter_s
Dec 14, 2008

Rank: 1 / 5 (1)
I agree with KBK. It could certainly be possible to take advantage of the empty space inside the atom. However, there are many experiments to conduct before such ideas become technologically feasible...
Iron_John
Dec 17, 2008

Rank: 5 / 5 (1)
spice_guru wrote:
KBK, I have some swamp land to sell you in the sixth dimension.

Spice, I'll buy that swamp, with sixth dimentional currency of course. [i]happen to exist contiguously in all dimentions of universe.

[/blockquote]
spice_guru
Dec 17, 2008

Rank: not rated yet
Iron_John, with that many degrees of freedom you should save your 6-d currency to pay off your student loan.
Infinity3005
Dec 26, 2008

Rank: 1 / 5 (1)
O.k this subject on the matter of if Moore's law still lives, and if it will end. The answer is no it will not end, space is infinite within our universe. In other words there is no definite level to how far down you can go in the compression of information and space. The same thing applies on our plane of existence, there is no limit to how far out we can go out in our universe. Even if we did came to the ending of our universe, we would emerge in another universe out of ours. I have thus come to the conclusion that we just haven't caught up to the future technology in super optics technology to learn about new particles beyond the atomic structure and there are infinite number of new particles that hasn't been discovered yet. Yeah so Moore's law might have slowed down, thats because technology and discovery have slowed down but Moore's law still holds.
Fazer
Apr 19, 2009

Rank: not rated yet
Well, Moore's law applies to either the density or the total number of transistors on a chip, depending on who is interpreting the original statement made by Moore. If we cease to use transistors, as such, then Moore's law is dead.

If you apply it more loosely to processing power density, or else capacity, then we are only limitted by how small or how large we can conduct processing. Small might have a limit. Large only has a limit if, after transforming all matter and other usefull "stuff" into one big processing medium (as Kurzweil suggests could happen), we fail to find other spaces. My bet is we WILL expand into any other dimensions or universes that exist. Either way, we've got a long way to go, and I am not in the least bit worried about running out of Moore's Law steam any time soon.

Well, unless the EPA outlaws breathing.
Rank 4 /5 (39 votes)
Tags

Relevant PhysicsForums posts
  • Wind Turbine Power
    created2 hours ago
  • Steam Table issues
    created4 hours ago
  • electrostatic induction in a conductor should be immpossible
    created7 hours ago
  • Help! Physics Momentum/Impulse problem!
    created10 hours ago
  • Gauss' law cubes, how to prove
    created12 hours ago
  • what is significance of torque
    created13 hours ago
  • More from Physics Forums - General Physics

More news stories

What lies beneath: Mapping hidden nanostructures

The ability to diagnose and predict the properties of materials is vital, particularly in the expanding field of nanotechnology. Electron and atom-probe microscopy can categorize atoms in thin sheets of material, ...

Nanotechnology / Nanophysics

created 1 hour ago | popularity not rated yet | comments 0

'Dark plasmons' transmit energy

Microscopic channels of gold nanoparticles have the ability to transmit electromagnetic energy that starts as light and propagates via "dark plasmons," according to researchers at Rice University.

Nanotechnology / Nanophysics

created 17 hours ago | popularity 5 / 5 (5) | comments 0 | with audio podcast

Nanotube therapy takes aim at breast cancer stem cells

Wake Forest Baptist Medical Center researchers have again proven that injecting multiwalled carbon nanotubes (MWCNTs) into tumors and heating them with a quick, 30-second laser treatment can kill them.

Nanotechnology / Bio & Medicine

created 22 hours ago | popularity 5 / 5 (1) | comments 0 | with audio podcast

New kind of solar cell could capture significantly more energy than current cells

New solar cells could increase the maximum efficiency of solar panels by over 25%, according to scientists from the University of Cambridge.

Nanotechnology / Nanophysics

created Feb 08, 2012 | popularity 4.5 / 5 (11) | comments 14 | with audio podcast

Nanoshell whispering galleries improve thin solar panels

Visitors to Statuary Hall in the U.S. Capitol Building may have experienced a curious acoustic feature that allows a person to whisper softly at one side of the cavernous, half-domed room and for another on ...

Nanotechnology / Nanomaterials

created Feb 07, 2012 | popularity 4.3 / 5 (6) | comments 6 | with audio podcast


Fool's gold may prove an unlikely alternative to overexploited catalytic materials

Catalytic materials, which lower the energy barriers for chemical reactions, are used in everything from the commercial production of chemicals to catalytic converters in car engines. However, with current catalytic materials ...

Curry spice component may help slow prostate tumor growth

Curcumin, an active component of the Indian curry spice turmeric, may help slow down tumor growth in castration-resistant prostate cancer patients on androgen deprivation therapy (ADT), a study from researchers ...

Netflix light on flicks as viewers soak up TV shows

Like most fresh faces that arrive in Hollywood, Netflix wanted to be a movie star. But now it's learning what many in Tinseltown have known for decades: Movies are sexy, but the real money is in television.

To avoid early labor and delivery, weight and diet changes not the answer

One of the strongest known risk factors for spontaneous or unexpected preterm birth – any birth that occurs before the 37th week of pregnancy, most often without a known cause – is already having had one. For women ...

Arthritic knees, but not hips, have robust repair response

Researchers at Duke University Medical Center used new tools they developed to analyze knees and hips and discovered that osteoarthritic knee joints are in a constant state of repair, while hip joints are not.

Sony's Hirai refuses to abandon dire TV business

Struggling Japanese entertainment giant Sony will not abandon its cash-bleeding television business, its incoming CEO says, but he acknowledges tough decisions lie ahead including over redundancies.