Scientists warn of climate catastrophe
June 18, 2009
A man smokes a cigarette near a coal-fired power station near Beijing. The world faces a growing risk of "abrupt and irreversible climatic shifts" as fallout from global warming hits faster than expected, according to research by international scientists.
The world faces a growing risk of "abrupt and irreversible climatic shifts" as fallout from global warming hits faster than expected, according to research by international scientists released Thursday.
Global surface and ocean temperatures, sea levels, extreme climate events, the retreat of Arctic sea ice are all increasing significantly faster than experts predicted, they warned.
The stark warning comes less than six months before an international conference aiming to seal a global treaty to save the planet from the worst ravages of global warming.
A 36-page document summarized more than 1,400 studies presented at a climate conference in March in Copenhagen, where a new meeting will be held in December to hammer out successor to the Kyoto Protocol.
It said greenhouse gas emissions and other climate indicators are at or near the upper boundaries forecast by the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), whose 2007 report has been the scientific benchmark for the troubled UN talks.
There is also new evidence that the planet itself has begun to contribute to global warming through fall out from human activity.
Huge stores of gases such as methane -- an even more powerful greenhouse gas than carbon dioxide -- trapped for millennia in the Arctic permafrost may be starting to leak into the atmosphere, speeding up the warming process.
The natural capacity of the oceans and forests to absorb CO2 created by the burning of fossil fuels has also been compromised, research has shown.
The new report, written and reviewed by many of the scientists who compiled the IPCC document, calls on policy makers to take urgent steps to keep average global temperatures from increasing more than two degrees Centigrade (3.6 degree Fahrenheit), compared to pre-industrial levels.
"Rapid, sustained, and effective mitigation ... is required to avoid 'dangerous climate change' regardless of how it is defined," it said.
"Temperature rises above 2 Celsius will be difficult for contemporary societies to cope with, and are likely to cause major societal and environmental disruptions through the rest of the century and beyond."
The IPCC has said that achieving this goal would require industrialised nations to slash greenhouse gas emissions by 25-40 percent compared to 1990 levels.
The new report suggested that deep and early emissions cuts -- one of the most contentious issues on the table in the UN talks -- are essential.
"Weaker targets for 2020 increase the risk of serious impacts, including the crossing of tipping points" beyond which natural forces reinforce the warming process.
(c) 2009 AFP
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Jun 18, 2009
Rank: 3.3 / 5 (16)
Jun 18, 2009
Rank: 2.8 / 5 (14)
Right, and smoking does not cause cancer either.
Jun 18, 2009
Rank: 3.3 / 5 (16)
And evolution is fake. And the Holocaust never happened. And man never landed on the Moon. And HIV doesn't cause AIDS. All forms of reality denial are equally absurd, utilizing the exact same rhetorical tactics and fallacious arguments, including the most recent form of reality denial: global warming denial.
Different reality denialists deny reality for different reasons. Evolution denialists, for instance, deny reality because of their primitive stone age mythology. Holocaust denialists deny reality because of their racism.
Why do the global warming denialists deny reality? Because of their greed, their avarice, their shallow materialism, which are all symptoms of the disease of anarcho-capitalism.
Jun 18, 2009
Rank: 3.2 / 5 (13)
Strangely, when questioned about the sky falling, Ms. Little cannot produce a single piece of fallen sky.
Jun 18, 2009
Rank: 3 / 5 (7)
The problem is not whether, for example, many Jews died during WWII, but how much of what we have been taught is factual and how much is hype with a political agenda. Same with evolution. We can observe adaptation and change within a species today, how much of the conjecture about what happened millions of years ago is fact and how much is pushing an agenda of belief? If one million Jews were killed in WWII, is that less of a "holocaust" than if six million were killed, or is the larger number required to promote an agenda even if hard facts to back up that number are lacking? What is lacking in some of these cases is real hard facts, not hype, conjecture and supposition. The sad truth is that people that take both sides of the issues you mentioned have personal agendas and beliefs, and those of us who are looking for genuine facts don't have the resources to filter those out.
Jun 18, 2009
Rank: 2 / 5 (8)
Brilliantly Put! Precisely what you are saying is the truth.
Jun 18, 2009
Rank: 2.8 / 5 (12)
I disagree with you on one point however. Capitalism is just an economic system designed for growth, its human greed that is the problem. In fact one of the very reason socialist states fail is greed and corruption. The economic system we have is a perfect engine for solving our problems, because it places the emphasis on the individual (not the state) to generate solutions (though I appreciate state subsidy is required for large scale operations).
Business, innovation, technology, and people are the key to slowing and stopping climate change. Though the main thing I do not understand from the climate change deniers, is that regardless of whether it is real or not, they never seem to show any concern that our way of creating energy is non-sustainable.
Jun 18, 2009
Rank: 3.4 / 5 (5)
"We can observe adaptation and change within a species today, how much of the conjecture about what happened millions of years ago is fact and how much is pushing an agenda of belief?"
its not pushing an agenda of belief, its putting forward a theory
" If one million Jews were killed in WWII, is that less of a "holocaust" than if six million were killed, or is the larger number required to promote an agenda even if hard facts to back up that number are lacking? "
you can look at the many hundreds or thousands of pictures of the camps and pretty much see it for yourself. i have a very close friend of mine whose grandparents still wear the mark from all of that bs.
Jun 18, 2009
Rank: 3.2 / 5 (9)
Why do global warming fanatics advocate an unproven hypothesis based on flawed computer models that have never been able to predict the climate?
Avarice, their shallow authoritarian power grabbing, which are all symptoms of the disease of the modern Neo Facist/scocialist.
Jun 19, 2009
Rank: 2.6 / 5 (5)
I might point out that once you call your belief reality, everyone who does not agree with your belief is a reality denialist. Thus, you might add to your long list of reality denialists a category called anti-AGW denialist. Here is a succinct definition: Anti-AGW denialist: A person who believes categorically that anti-AGW propositions cannot possibly be true.
Incidentally, how's your saintly life without greed, avarice, shallow materialism, and other assorted ancient sins of anachro-capitalism? And is deep materialism the way to go under post-anachro-capitalism?
Jun 19, 2009
Rank: 3.9 / 5 (7)
Certainly not propaganda, not at all....
Jun 19, 2009
Rank: 1 / 5 (3)
Jun 19, 2009
Rank: 3.4 / 5 (5)
So we're up to ghidon, MsDeeNyer, Noein, John_Balls, and Dutchtraveller. Good show. FYI: it shows the date of account creation and prior commentary.
Jun 19, 2009
Rank: 5 / 5 (4)
Jun 19, 2009
Rank: 1.7 / 5 (6)
Why do you say that?
In fact, the human life span was close to 1000 years many years ago. Don't have any records of anyone discussing AGW.
Jun 19, 2009
Rank: 3.5 / 5 (8)
In my land there's a separation of church and state, but they would have their new religion dictate the terms of human government. It's a religion that sacrifices you and I on the altar to stave off the "terrible disaster" prophecied by their preists and prophets. It is exactly like the foolish Aztecs who thought the sun would burn them unless beating hearts were offered, and for this they slaughtered until they were denched in fat clots of blood.
Jun 19, 2009
Rank: 4.2 / 5 (5)
Could you cite your reference on a human being living up to a thousand years? As far as I know, that's never happened.
Jun 19, 2009
Rank: 3 / 5 (2)
i second my buddy velannaris there....
Jun 19, 2009
Rank: 2 / 5 (4)
He's referring to the Old Testament. And, in that case, I would classify Noah's Ark as a response to climate change ;-]
Jun 20, 2009
Rank: 2.3 / 5 (3)
I'm well versed in the Old Testament and there is nowhere where it is stated than man lived for up to a thousand years.
It is stated that the earliest rulers were as wise as a man who had lived to be a thousand years old, as 2well as showing a large disconnect between the old calendars of the time and our current calendar, so I'm wondering where Jerry got thousands of years from.
(Don't ruin my anti fundamentalist traps).
Jun 20, 2009
Rank: 2.6 / 5 (5)
Read Genesis. A quote from Genesis chapter 5 verse 5:
"And all the days that Adam lived were nine hundred and thirty years: and he died."
Jun 20, 2009
Rank: 3 / 5 (2)
And you believe the story of genesis to be true?
Jun 21, 2009
Rank: 2.3 / 5 (3)
I find no reason to dispute it. Why do you believe that it is not true?
Jun 21, 2009
Rank: 3.7 / 5 (3)
Jun 21, 2009
Rank: 3 / 5 (2)
Not quite as big a mistranslation as "era" for "day" in the story of the seven eras of creation.
Velanarris - nuclear power plants don't have tall smokestacks. I see no reason to question that that's a coal plant - they often use cooling towers that look just like the ones at nuclear power plants).
Switch - good start on an analogy, but you aren't just starting a fire. You've had the fire going for a long time, and have been building it hotter and hotter because it is essential to your way of life. So you can't just put it out, you need to find an alternate way to heat your house, cook your food, boil water for your new-born child, etc., before you could put the fire out. So you try to find other ways of checking.
The question is at what point you decide that you have enough evidence to take drastic action. Some people believe we have enough already, others believe that the climate is changing but it is not us that is causing it, others believe that this climate is not even the optimmum one or that optimum is just a matter of perspective.
Of course some of the people on this message board ignore evidence whenever it goes against their view point. That certainly doesn't make them right, but doesn't necessarily make them wrong, either. It just makes them less worth listening to.
Jun 22, 2009
Rank: 1 / 5 (1)
You assert that Adam's lifespan of 930 years was in reality 930 months (about 80 years) because of what?
If this is an error in translation, then when God reduced man's lifespan to 120 years, everyone would die in, according to your calculations, 10 years?
"Genesis chapter 5 verse 5:
And all the days that Adam lived were nine hundred and thirty years: and he died."
"Genesis chapter 6 verse 3:
And the Lord said, My spirit shall not always strive with man, for that he also is flesh: yet his days shall be an hundred and twenty years."
Jun 22, 2009
Rank: 2.3 / 5 (3)
Because it was written in 100 AD and is not contemporary to the events it tells of, if they even occured.
You zealots don't seem to understand that back then a year was not 365 days. Nor did David slay Goliath with a single rock, nor did Moses part the red sea.
God didn't reduce man's lifespan to 120 years. Man refined his ability to tell time and made up God's lifespan change to explain why the old records don't match up to the new.
Babylonian calendar adoption drove the "shortening" as they had a solar precessional calendar as opposed to a lunar calendar year.
You can't pick and choose which myths are true and which are not. It depends on evidence, not faith.
Jun 22, 2009
Rank: 1 / 5 (2)
All the history of the Jewish people was made up in 100 AD?
How deluded is that?
Jun 22, 2009
Rank: not rated yet
That's the Fukushima Daiichi plant in Tokyo.
That's not what I said. That's when it was put to pen and paper as the book you call Genesis. The story of David had been around for almost 1000 years before it was included in the Old Testament.
Jun 22, 2009
Rank: 3.7 / 5 (3)
You must be pretty pissed that they found the fossil intermediary between Lemurs and lower primates, and Man and higher primates. Kinda puts a big kink in your theory of how man developed.
Jun 22, 2009
Rank: not rated yet
1. You are wrong about when the Torah and other Jewish texts were written.
2. Why would I be pissed about a fossil?
3. Why do you presume you know anything about what I believe?
Jun 22, 2009
Rank: 1 / 5 (1)
The bible, Old and New books, were written from about 150BC to 400AD. The last of which cited as being Revelation According to John (of Patmos).
The Torah and other Jewish texts are a retelling of former mythos from which very few written texts survived due to the Israelite campaign of genocide launched against the Moabites, Edomites, and other resident peoples of Canaan. This is the same place referred to in Egyptian texts as Djahi and Hurrian texts as Kinahhu.
Kinda makes the whole argument against evolution, and the pre-ordained descent of the species invalid.
Stating that humans previously lived for thousands of years means one of two things.
You're being a contrarian.
or
You're genuinely serious and believe the bible word for mistranslated word.
Jun 22, 2009
Rank: not rated yet
jerry-too many things have been proven wrong within that ole ye sacred book of yours for you to even concider the possibility of them being fact anymore.
the great flood is a great example...didnt happen, not the way its written in there anyway...it happened, but only over a small portion of the world (its either the red sea or the dead sea..cant remember) as teh glaciers receded. from the perspective of the guy writing it, or the guy who saw it who told the story to the guy writing it, than it must have truly seemed like the whole of the earth was being flooded....BUT, it wasnt....
Faith placed into something created out of a lack of scientific understanding is not a faith at all...
Oh keep in mind too, in my understanding, there was a known translation issue when the bible was translated into english in that what looked like 10,000 years is actually 100,000 years; what looked like 1,000 years was actually 10,000 years, and so on...if that does indeed play true, then in that case jerry is really saying that man lived to 10,000 years old and he is simply quoting a mis-translation....of course either way its bs....
Wish I could remember who put that out now....but it escapes me...
Jun 22, 2009
Rank: 1 / 5 (1)
Did Noah's flood occur? Unknown. It's sugested by some in the fields of paleoarchaeology that Noah's flood did indeed occur to primitive man and that the story was retold over and over to the point of legend. Making its retelling in the Bible simply a point of common myth. Similar to our "Trojan War", assumed myth until Troy was found.
Now was the flood an event that obliterated the world? Hardly, but it was a great inundation that shook primitive society. Allegedly it would be associated with the flood waters and surges seen between 10,000 and 8,000 BC.
Keep in mind, every culture has a flood myth, most likely they all stem from the same place, or time period.
As for the known translation issue, that is known as "Plato's offset" and has very little to do with the Bible. Plato was known to have made the folly of ten in his retelling of the story of Atlantis, in which Atlantis didn't exist 9000 years ago, but more like 900 years ago, making the story line up surprisingly well with the Minoan and Phonecian civilization.
Coincidentally, a lot of the mythos of the Israelites is closely related to the Minoan/Phonecian mythos sans polytheistic overtones.
Jun 22, 2009
Rank: 5 / 5 (2)
That big white plume of condensing moisture is coming from a cooling tower. A common engineering control measure for thermal pollution in combustion generation facilities without heat-recovery generators. The pic caption even says it's a coal plant near Beijing. Velanarris you are the height of just-too-muchery.
Jun 22, 2009
Rank: 2.3 / 5 (3)
"Kinda makes the whole argument against evolution, and the pre-ordained descent of the species invalid."
You will have to work out your own problems with evolution. I can't help you there since I have no problem with evolution.
Jun 22, 2009
Rank: 5 / 5 (1)
very true...it is not set in stone thats that what it was...but it is, you have to admit, a little coincidental for the timing of the overflow of the mediterranean into that sea to be not all that long before the stories of giglamesh (unsure if proper spelling, but, the original Noah's ark story from i think babylon).
those times coincidence just too neatly for me to not say at least "this is most likely the source". we all know, there is no evidence to a biblical flood occurring worldwide at one time...that evidence should be obvious (at least as far as i know none has been found).
but the fact it was a lake, and we have seen and photographed the ruins at the old lakes shoreline, and again, the timing of it....although yes, it could be just a coincidence i will give you that.
i am in complete agreement on your second paragraph there....
"Keep in mind, every culture has a flood myth, most likely they all stem from the same place, or time period."
entirely agreed, with the exception of a few tribal religions (some extinct, some almost)...however the bible is merely the newest rendition of the same story....so again, entirely agree as one rolled over to the next book which rolled ot the next book which rolled to 2 more books...etc etc
"As for the known translation issue, that is known as "Plato's offset" and has very little to do with the Bible. Plato was known to have made the folly of ten in his retelling of the story of Atlantis, in which Atlantis didn't exist 9000 years ago, but more like 900 years ago, making the story line up surprisingly well with the Minoan and Phonecian civilization."
ok that would make sense, but backwards from what i remember. i believe it was like a discovery program or something that i am referencing there from way back when that was discussing the mistranslation from greek in the fashion i described. i want to say mid 90s even i bet....so i wouldnt doubt thats wrong or out of date at all...so thanks for the correction.
Jun 26, 2009
Rank: not rated yet
There is an excellent site that goes into detail about the major religions and their origins- jesusneverexisted.com
Bureaucratic climate scientist do much the same thing. They take advantage of the public ignorance of the complexity of climate science. It's call the lie sandwich, a slice of lie between two truth's.
Earth getting warmer, CO2 rising! Must be our fault says Ogg the cave man. Must prepare sacrifice. Tell the villagers to bring precious tokens for sacrificial offering plate. Then bring plate to me- he, he.
Jul 03, 2009
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Jul 05, 2009
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Jul 07, 2009
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you actually made a good point out to another reason the bible is bs...how many people have you known or seen that have came anywhere freakin close to 120 yrs old. I can pretty much guarantee youve known none personally, and only heard of a couple in the world over the last couple centuries...
bad idea to post something that even a child knows there aint a fat chance of happening...well ok, a fat chance, but HIGHLY rare
velannaris-
i have to disagree with you about a worldwide flood not happening as being fact, as it is indeed. As far as I know, there is absolute proof in the geological record that a global flood has not occurred....if it had, the sediment line would be in the same layers of earth across the globe from the exact same time, with the exact same "laydown" pattern, etc etc...the fact that does not exist is proof in and of itself that a global flood did not occur.
Jul 07, 2009
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I mean a distinct and geologically sudden rise in sea level.
Jul 08, 2009
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Lucky - would you accept that the Bible was written to make a point, not to establish an historical record or text?
Jul 08, 2009
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the points of course being moral values
Jul 09, 2009
Rank: 5 / 5 (3)
Typically the pure fantasy stories are the "moral" stories, like Genesis.
The few stories which have a basis in fact are greatly exaggerated tales of military actions like the Exodus story.
Jul 09, 2009
Rank: 3 / 5 (2)
Much the same can be said about AGW but instead of ancient stories, we're talking about recent reports.
It's funny how much people can argue over unproven theories, it wouldn't surprise me if the next big war was over "Global Warming", would make a change from religion but it's along the same lines.
Jul 10, 2009
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but that is a great example you use there, since I believe there is also evidence that a "loner" did live with a pharaoah as adopted son (at least I think I heard that)
Egnite-I suppose it depends on what constitutes proof to someone doesn't it? For example, a chemist looking through the microscope may see a molecule, and that is proof of molecular existence, yet to an accountant, they just see a blob and therefore it is not proof of molecular existence...but which is true, the analysis of the chemist who knows it to be true, or the analysis of the accountant to whom it is no different than believing in a higher power cuz all he/she sees is that blob?
Jul 10, 2009
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Like I said before, some stories in the bible are exaggerations of factual events.
Jul 10, 2009
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Your above comment is a "just so" story [ad hoc fallacy] of monumental proportions.
Jul 11, 2009
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No, it's an interpretation of events based on primary and secondary source literature.
Sorry to offend your sensibilities again.
Jul 11, 2009
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Your desire for an altered reality doesn't make it happen.
Saying something happened in congruence with your personal fiction doesn't make it happen.
Facts remain facts.
Jul 12, 2009
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Then state facts that dismiss mine. It's debate, not ad hominem attack time.
Jul 12, 2009
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Keep saying it. Enough repetition will doubtless cause it to be true.
You could argue that all the Miss America contestants were mercenaries too, and I bet you could convince some people that that was true.
The facts which dismiss your statement is that there are no facts which support your insane statement.
Jul 12, 2009
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Actually, you're wrong.
The origins of the Hebrews start with the Hyksos. The Hyksos were Canaanites who fled famine adn settled in western Egypt. The Hyksos were composed mainly of the Hurrians, but was a confederation of approximately 10 different Canaanite tribes. The Hyksos were originally hired by the Egyptians for their battle prowess, refined from centuries of tribal warfare. The Hyksos grew so powerful as to usurp the government of Egypt, to the point of the Pharaoh driving them out and back to Canaan where they decimated many cities and villages.
Time passes several famines come and go and in the Egyptian texts a new group pops up, the Hibiru mercenaries. The Hibiru, (Egyptian for Hebrew), were more a social caste than a specific ethnic group, but they all spoke Hurrian, the language of the canaanite tribes of the Hyksos.
The Hyksos, by the way, used the word El for Gods.
The Hebrews of the time used the word El to mean God, and their word for their god was Elohim, God of All.
Now the Hittites invade northern Canaan, bringing with them a confirmed pandemic that spread through the Egyptian ranks, destablizing the region and creating the rise of mega tribes and the first Moabites, Edomites, etc. The Hebrew leave Egypt, their slavery status can't be confirmed, but they are pursued by the Egyptian forces. The Hebrew people plunder the land leaving no supplies for the troops pursuing, while engaging in skirmish warfare. At the sea of reed the espaing Hebrew people, who are on foot, have a field where the Egyptian Chariots cannot engage in battle, where they face the Egyptian military and do enough damage to send them home.
They engage in warfare with the tribes of Canaan and go on the genocidal rampage spoken of under David, when the land of Israel was consolidated.
If you want to dispute that timeline, bring a reference rather than a non rebuttal.
Jul 12, 2009
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As I said before, "Your above comment is a 'just so' story [ad hoc fallacy] of monumental proportions. "
You should consider a career in fiction writing.
Jul 13, 2009
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Just like I thought, you haven't a word to disprove it. Thanks for the sophistry Jerry. Enjoy your mysticism.
Jul 13, 2009
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I don't have to disprove every idiotic tale someone makes up.
You have the burden of proof when you seek to re-write history.
Jul 13, 2009
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There's no re-write here. This is a commonly accepted timeline. Feel free to look it up before you tell someone they're wrong.